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Carbon Credits Market for Agriculture, Forestry, and Land Use to Soar to $67,075.2 Million by 2035 – BIS Research
What Is the Market Size and Growth Rate of the Carbon Credits Market for Agriculture, Forestry, and Land Use?
The market stood at $7,536.8 million in 2024 and is projected to reach $67,075.2 million by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 22.51%.
What Are the Key Trends and Innovations in the Carbon Credits Market for Agriculture, Forestry, and Land Use?
Key trends driving this market include the rise of voluntary carbon markets, adoption of regenerative agriculture, digitization of carbon offset platforms, and policy shifts favoring nature-based carbon sequestration. Innovations like AI-enabled MRV (Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification), satellite imaging for carbon tracking, and tokenized carbon credits are transforming how projects are validated and monetized. The integration of IoT and precision agriculture also allows for improved measurement of soil carbon and emission reductions.
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What Makes This Report on the Carbon Credits Market for Agriculture, Forestry, and Land Use Unique?
Report USP:
- Comprehensive coverage of agriculture, forestry, and land use-based carbon credit markets
- Insights into emerging tech applications such as AI, blockchain, and MRV systems
- Detailed regional outlook and policy-driven market segmentation
- In-depth analysis of voluntary vs. compliance carbon credit systems
- Profiles of leading project developers and offset platforms
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What Are the Main Demand Drivers, Challenges, and Opportunities in the Carbon Credits Market for Agriculture, Forestry, and Land Use?
Market Demand Drivers
Corporate net-zero goals are fueling demand for high-integrity AFOLU carbon credits. Firms like Apple, Unilever, Kering, and IKEA are investing in long-term soil-carbon and forestry offsets to balance residual emissions. With aggressive targets and sustainability roadmaps in place, these companies are catalyzing large-scale AFOLU project investments, especially in Latin America and Southeast Asia, anchoring credit demand and financing momentum toward 2050 net-zero ambitions.
Market Restraints
Unclear land tenure and registration delays remain major hurdles for AFOLU projects. Verra and other registries require legal land rights, yet in regions like Africa and Latin America, overlapping customary and statutory systems create ambiguity. Developers face prolonged lease validation processes, delaying project registration and credit issuance. These setbacks raise transaction costs and discourage smallholder participation, threatening scalability and investor confidence in emerging carbon offset ventures.
Market Opportunities
Blockchain tokenization is transforming AFOLU carbon credit access by converting registry-issued offsets into digital tokens. This enables fractional trading, transparent provenance, and 24/7 on-chain retirements. Tokenization simplifies market entry for retail investors and SMEs by reducing trade sizes and removing negotiation barriers. Smart contracts also automate registry compliance, ensuring integrity. The shift invites broader participation while maintaining verification standards, reshaping the future of carbon finance accessibility.
How Is the Carbon Credits Market for Agriculture, Forestry, and Land Use Segmented?
Application-Based Segmentation:
- Removal Project
- Avoidance Project
- Combination Project
Project Type-Based Segmentation:
- Forestry and Land Use
- REDD+
- ARR
- IFM
- Agriculture
Region-Based Segmentation:
- North America (U.S., Canada, Mexico)
- Europe
- Asia-Pacific (China, Japan, South Korea, India, Rest-of-Asia-Pacific)
- Rest of the World (Brazil, South Africa, Others)
Who Are the Key Players in the Carbon Credits Market for Agriculture, Forestry, and Land Use?
- Indigo Ag, Inc.
- Carbon Credit Capital, LLC.
- Terra Global Capital
- South Pole
- Nori, Inc.
- The California Air Resources Board (CARB)
- Cargill, Incorporated
- Regenerative Agriculture Alliance
- Ecosystem Services Market Consortium (ESMC)
- Bayer AG
- 3Degrees Group, Inc.
- NATUREOFFICE
- Climetrek
- EKI Energy Services Ltd.
- Finite Carbon Corporation
What Are the Strategic Initiatives Driving the Carbon Credits Market for Agriculture, Forestry, and Land Use?
Firms are investing in digital MRV tools, forming strategic partnerships with governments and NGOs, and expanding into underserved geographies like Southeast Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. Several are piloting blockchain solutions for secure and traceable carbon credits, while others focus on enabling farmer participation via mobile-first platforms.
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What Are Some Case Studies and Success Stories in the Carbon Credits Market for Agriculture, Forestry, and Land Use?
- Indigo Ag partnered with thousands of U.S. farmers to generate carbon credits through regenerative farming, using soil carbon measurement and satellite tech for traceability.
- Pachama applies remote sensing and machine learning to verify forest carbon projects in South America, dramatically reducing certification time and cost.
- Kenya’s Agroforestry Project involving smallholder farmers successfully restored degraded land, earning millions in credits while generating both ecological and socio-economic benefits.
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Related Reports from BIS Research
Agriculture Carbon Sequestration Market
Business Model Analysis of Precision Agriculture Technology Providers
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