Chemicals Industry Today

Japan Ammonia Market By 2035 Outlook: Industry to Reach USD 6,000 Million at 5% CAGR

Japan ammonia market to reach USD 6,000 million by 2035, driven by clean energy initiatives, hydrogen co-firing, and steady industrial demand across fertilizers, chemicals, and power generation.
Published 06 January 2026

The Japan ammonia market plays a vital role in the country’s industrial and energy ecosystem, supporting agriculture, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, refrigeration, and emerging clean energy applications. Ammonia is not only a critical input for fertilizer production but is increasingly recognized as a promising hydrogen carrier and low-carbon fuel alternative.

As per Market Research Future analysis, the Japan ammonia market size was estimated at USD 3,400.0 million in 2024. The market is projected to grow from USD 3,580.2 million in 2025 to USD 6,000.0 million by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5% during the forecast period 2025–2035.

Market Drivers

Several strong factors are driving growth in the Japan ammonia market:

Clean Energy TransitionAmmonia is gaining traction as a carbon-free fuel when produced using green or blue hydrogen. Japan is actively testing ammonia co-firing in thermal power plants to reduce CO₂ emissions.

Hydrogen Economy DevelopmentJapan’s hydrogen strategy identifies ammonia as a practical hydrogen carrier due to easier storage and transportation compared to pure hydrogen.

Steady Fertilizer DemandDespite limited domestic agriculture, ammonia remains essential for fertilizer production and agricultural imports, ensuring baseline demand stability.

Industrial and Chemical ApplicationsAmmonia is widely used in the production of nitric acid, explosives, plastics, synthetic fibers, and pharmaceuticals.

Government Policy SupportNational energy and climate policies support low-emission fuels, encouraging investments in ammonia-based technologies.

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Market Regulation and Policy Landscape

Regulation plays a crucial role in shaping the Japan ammonia market. The government has introduced frameworks that encourage cleaner production methods and safer handling standards.

Key regulatory influences include:

Carbon Neutrality GoalsJapan’s target to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050 is accelerating ammonia adoption in power generation and shipping fuels.

Safety and Environmental RegulationsStrict storage, transport, and handling regulations ensure workplace and environmental safety, influencing operational costs.

Import and Trade PoliciesJapan relies heavily on ammonia imports, making trade agreements and supply chain diversification strategically important.

Market Objectives

The primary objectives of stakeholders in the Japan ammonia market include:

Reducing Carbon EmissionsPromote ammonia as a low-carbon or zero-carbon fuel alternative.

Ensuring Energy SecurityDiversify fuel sources to reduce dependence on fossil fuels.

Enhancing Industrial EfficiencyImprove production technologies to reduce energy consumption and emissions.

Expanding Global PartnershipsSecure long-term ammonia supply agreements with producing nations.

Key Players in the Japan Ammonia Market

The market is characterized by the presence of established chemical and energy companies with strong technological capabilities.

Major participants include:

Mitsubishi Chemical Group

Sumitomo Chemical

Mitsui & Co., Ltd.

JERA Co., Inc.

ENEOS Holdings

Tosoh Corporation

These companies are investing in clean ammonia production, international supply chains, and pilot projects for ammonia-powered energy systems.

Market Challenges

Despite positive growth prospects, the Japan ammonia market faces several challenges:

High Cost of Green AmmoniaProduction using renewable energy remains expensive compared to conventional methods.

Supply Chain Dependence on ImportsJapan imports most of its ammonia, making the market vulnerable to global price volatility and geopolitical risks.

Infrastructure LimitationsScaling ammonia use in power generation and transport requires new storage, transport, and combustion infrastructure.

Safety ConcernsAmmonia is toxic, requiring strict safety protocols that can increase compliance costs.

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Market Segmentation

The Japan ammonia market can be segmented based on application, end-use industry, and production method.

By Application

Fertilizers

Chemicals and intermediates

Refrigeration

Energy and power generation

Pharmaceuticals

By End-Use Industry

Agriculture

Chemical manufacturing

Energy utilities

Food and beverage

Healthcare

By Production Method

Conventional (grey ammonia)

Blue ammonia

Green ammonia

Among these, energy and power generation and green ammonia segments are expected to witness the fastest growth over the forecast period.

Future Outlook

The future outlook for the Japan ammonia market remains highly positive through 2035. The market’s expansion will be shaped by technological innovation, international collaboration, and policy-driven decarbonization efforts.

Key future trends include:

Scaling Ammonia Co-Firing ProjectsIncreased adoption in coal and gas power plants to reduce emissions.

Growth in Green Ammonia ImportsLong-term supply agreements with Australia, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia.

Advancements in Storage and TransportImproved safety systems and cost-efficient logistics.

Integration with Hydrogen InfrastructureAmmonia becoming a central pillar of Japan’s hydrogen economy.

With a projected market value of USD 6,000 million by 2035, ammonia is set to become a strategic fuel and industrial feedstock supporting Japan’s sustainable growth ambitions.

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