Brazil Carbon Credits Market Size, Share, Growth Trends, Forecast, Insight, 2025-2034

Market Overview

The Brazil carbon credits market was valued at USD 2.7 Billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 25.2 Billion by 2034. Expected to grow at a CAGR of 28.10% during 2026-2034, the market expansion is driven by increasing demand for sustainable solutions, Brazil’s rich biodiversity, and supportive regulatory advancements such as a national carbon pricing system. This market reflects Brazil's commitment to global climate goals and sustainable forest conservation.

Study Assumption Years

• Base Year: 2025
• Historical Years: 2020-2025
• Forecast Years: 2026-2034

Brazil Carbon Credits Market Key Takeaways

• The Brazil carbon credits market size reached USD 2.7 Billion in 2025.
• The market is forecast to achieve a CAGR of 28.10% during 2026-2034.
• The market is expected to reach USD 25.2 Billion by 2034.
• Regulatory frameworks including the establishment of a national carbon pricing system are positively impacting market growth.
• Brazil’s extensive forest cover and high biodiversity position it as a key player in global carbon offset markets.
• Programs like REDD+ support forest conservation and carbon sequestration, enhancing credit supply.
• Environmental initiatives, such as the "Tropical Forests Forever" fund of USD 250 Billion, are boosting forest protection incentives.

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Market Growth Factors

Regulatory development is a strong factor in the growth of Brazil's carbon credits market. The government actively develops a carbon market framework in line with international climate commitments by introducing a national mechanism for carbon pricing. The model seeks to offer a clear reward for emissions reduction across sectors, enabling credibility and increased participation from both voluntary and compliance-regulated players. Following in the footsteps of the European Union's carbon pricing system, Brazil aspires to achieve a 53% reduction in emissions by 2030 through the stimulus of funding for pollution control and rainforest conservation.

Particular areas of growth include forest conservation projects, more specifically REDD+ programs. These use the wealth of forest resources in Brazil to offer financial incentives for the preservation of key ecosystems, such as the Amazon rainforest. Reforestation efforts and sustainable forest management increase the availability of nature-based carbon credits, attracting global investment and raising Brazil's environmental stature.

The establishment of global funding mechanisms also supports market expansion. For instance, at COP28 in December 2023, Brazil proposed the fund "Tropical Forests Forever," targeting USD 250 Billion in investments from SWFs, investors, and the oil sector. This would pay countries annually for hectares of forest protected or restored and enforce penalties on nations prone to deforestation, creating more reliable and scalable carbon offset projects.

Market Segmentation

Type Insights:

• Compliance: Includes carbon credits generated under regulatory frameworks.
• Voluntary: Comprises carbon credits traded outside mandatory compliance schemes, used chiefly for corporate sustainability.

Project Type Insights:

• Avoidance/Reduction Projects: Projects focusing on reducing emissions to generate credits.
• Removal/Sequestration Projects: Includes nature-based and technology-based projects aimed at capturing and storing carbon.

End-Use Industry Insights:

• The market serves Power, Energy, Aviation, Transportation, Buildings, Industrial, and Other sectors, reflecting diverse application areas for carbon credits.

Regional Insights

The market covers major Brazilian regions: Southeast, South, Northeast, North, and Central-West. Specific market statistics for each region are not provided, but the segmentation indicates a broad geographical market presence.

Recent Developments & News

• In May 2025, AgriCapture launched its first rice carbon project in Rio Grande do Sul partnering with NatCap, enabling access to international carbon markets via methane-reducing irrigation.
• In December 2024, Brazil enacted Law 15,042/2024 establishing the SBCE carbon market targeting firms emitting over 10,000 tCO₂/year, bolstering regulatory clarity and facilitating credit trading.
• In September 2024, Google purchased 50,000 metric tons of nature-based carbon removal credits from Brazilian startup Mombak, focused on reforestation.
• Also in September 2024, Amazon and five companies committed $180 million to buy carbon offset credits via the LEAF Coalition to protect the Amazon rainforest in Para state, supporting forest conservation and communities.

Key Players

• AgriCapture
• NatCap
• Google
• Mombak
• Amazon
• LEAF Coalition

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