Automotive Lubricants Market to Reach 28.01 Billion Liters by 2030, Driven by Aging Vehicle Fleets, Rising Two-Wheeler Ownership, and Premium Synthetic Oils

The global automotive lubricants market is projected to grow steadily, reaching 28.01 billion liters by 2030, up from 23.23 billion liters in 2025, at a CAGR of 3.81% Lubricants remain essential for reducing friction, ensuring smooth vehicle operation, and extending engine life. Despite challenges such as the rise of electric vehicles (EVs) and longer drain intervals specified by manufacturers, demand continues to be supported by the aging vehicle population in developed economies and the surge in two-wheeler and commercial vehicle ownership across emerging markets.

Asia-Pacific leads the global market, accounting for over 42% of consumption in 2024, thanks to expanding vehicle ownership and strong local manufacturing bases Meanwhile, North America and Europe rely on vehicle longevity and aftermarket service demand to sustain lubricant sales.

Upcoming Trends in the Automotive Lubricants Industry

Growing Average Vehicle Age

In regions like North America and Europe, vehicles are staying on the road longer. The average car age in Western Europe exceeds 18 years, while Eastern Europe averages 28 years Older vehicles require more frequent maintenance, driving demand for high-quality synthetic oils that offer extended protection against wear, corrosion, and thermal stress.

Rising Vehicle Parc in Emerging Economies

Emerging markets such as China, India, and Southeast Asia are witnessing rapid growth in vehicle ownership. China alone hosts 453 million vehicles, with 35.83 million new registrations in 2024 Two-wheelers dominate in India and Southeast Asia, where urban congestion and affordability fuel demand. These vehicles require frequent oil changes, boosting lubricant consumption.

OEM Factory-Fill Recovery

Automotive production has rebounded post-pandemic, with more than 90% of new vehicles now shipping with synthetic factory fills This trend supports higher per-liter margins for suppliers and strengthens long-term supply agreements with automakers.

Shift Toward Premium Synthetic Oils

Consumers and OEMs are increasingly adopting low-viscosity synthetic lubricants such as 0W-16 and 0W-12 grades, which improve fuel efficiency and meet stricter emission standards. These formulations are gaining traction in markets like Japan and Europe, where CO₂ compliance is a priority

Local Blending Investments

Regional blending facilities in Africa and Southeast Asia are reducing costs and tailoring products to local fuel quality and climate conditions. For example, Shell expanded grease production in Thailand to meet domestic demand and export needs across Asia-Pacific

Read the full report and access market snapshots that include both global views and Japan-specific analysis: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/ja/industry-reports/automotive-lubricants-market?utm_source=industrytoday

Automotive Lubricants Market Segments

By Product Type

• Engine Oil: Dominates with over 58% share in 2024, essential for both spark-ignition and compression-ignition engines.
• Transmission & Gear Oil: Vital for manual gearboxes, wet brakes, and steering systems.
• Hydraulic Fluids: Used in power steering and braking systems.
• Greases: Fastest-growing segment with a 4.28% CAGR, particularly important for EV bearings and high-RPM applications

By Vehicle Type

• Passenger Vehicles: Accounted for 53.42% of consumption in 2024, driven by routine servicing needs.
• Commercial Vehicles: Contribute significantly due to larger sump capacities and high mileage.
• Motorcycles: Expected to grow at 5.92% CAGR, supported by rising ownership in Asia-Pacific and frequent oil-change cycles

By Geography

• Asia-Pacific: Largest market with 42.25% share in 2024, forecasted to grow at 4.16% CAGR.
• North America: Stable demand supported by older fleets and aftermarket services.
• Europe: Sustains demand through aging fleets and adoption of premium-grade synthetics.
• Middle East & Africa: Growth driven by infrastructure projects and regional blending investments.
• South America: Expanding demand from commercial fleets and motorcycles

Explore Competitive Landscape Details: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/automotive-lubricants-market/companies?utm_source=industrytoday

Top Key Players in the Automotive Lubricants Industry

• Shell plc: Market leader for 18 consecutive years, expanding production capacity in Asia and Africa.
• ExxonMobil Corporation: Strong presence in synthetic lubricants, focusing on OEM partnerships.
• BP p.l.c. (Castrol): Known for premium-grade lubricants and global distribution networks.
• TotalEnergies: Introduced Quartz EV3R and Rubia EV3R lubricants made from regenerated base oils, aligning with sustainability goals.
• Chevron Corporation: Strengthened supply chain resilience with expanded base-oil production.
• Saudi Aramco: Acquired Valvoline’s global products business in 2025, enhancing downstream reach

Conclusion: Automotive Lubricants Market Outlook to 2030

The automotive lubricants market is set to expand steadily, reaching 28.01 billion liters by 2030. While EV adoption and longer drain intervals present challenges, demand is sustained by

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